Ballon d’Or 2026: Harry Kane tops the predictions

The race for the 2026 Ballon d’Or is starting to take shape. With the list of 30 nominated players unveiled, the early trends place Harry Kane as the favorite to succeed the winner of the previous edition. According to Polymarket data, the Bayern Munich and England striker currently holds 63% of the estimates. This trend can be attributed in part to his excellent season with the Bavarian club, with which he won the Bundesliga and the DFB-Pokal.

Lamine Yamal occupies second place with 15%. The winger from FC Barcelona and the Spain national team also had a particularly rich season, marked by titles won with the Catalan club and a World Cup victory with Spain. Kylian Mbappé completes the podium with 11%.

The Frenchman has not won any collective trophy during the period in question, but his individual performance speaks in his favor. The Real Madrid striker notably finished as the top scorer in the Champions League, La Liga, and the World Cup. However, these figures do not represent the final result of the vote. The winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or will be announced following the official voting.