The controversy surrounding the parliamentary elections of sunday 28 april 2019 is gradually fading away and giving way to debates on the municipal, communal and local elections of 2020. In the headquarters of political parties with a legal existence, strategies for the conquest of town halls are being fine-tuned. But what are the chances for the parties of the unconventional movement against the two  head of state’s blocks?

The page of parliamentary elections is closing more and more in the face of the imminent municipal, communal and local elections of 2020. While the two blocs supporting President Patrice Talon, namely the “Progressive Union” and the “Republican Block”, take up the challenge of controlling as many town halls as possible, the other parties of the unconventional movement, the Democratic Renewal Party, the Moêle-Benin Party, the UDBN and the DUD, do not intend to be taken in this time. But what are their real chances in the upcoming municipal elections?

Communal elections in 2020, for whom is  the chance of the unconventional movement:

To have been excluded from the last legislative elections on sunday 28 april 2019, the political parties claiming to be part of the ruling movement but having maintained their autonomy when the two blocs of the Head of State were formed do not intend to make a poor showing in the 2020 municipal, communal and local elections. Now rekindled by their legal existence, they are mobilizing to face the two political blocs represented in parliament on the ground. But what chance do they have to respect the progressive union and the republican bloc?

The current political context can be favourable to political parties such as the Democratic Renewal Party, the “Moêle-Benin”,  Union for Development of New Benin (UDNB), the unitary dynamics for Development of the former Quaestor Valentin Houdé. Indeed, in order to totally weaken the rebellious opposition and definitively end the controversy over the last legislative elections, the regime of rupture can work to ensure the transparency of the grassroots elections despite the oil stain on the credibility of the body in charge of organising the elections. A good participation of satellite political parties in both blocs would be perceived in national opinion and at the level of international bodies as a denial of the image that the international press conveyed of Benin during the legislative elections. But a possibility for the cena to restore its coat of arms stained by the latest media release of the president of the cnpa.

The 2021 presidential election can hold municipal elections: 

Although a member of ruling movement, the parties of the RDP, UDBN, moêl-Benin, and DUD do not enjoy the confidence of the Head of State. The last false leap of these political parties on the eve of the constitution of the two blocs that support the action of the Head of State. As the presidential election is an election in which the electoral district remains the national territory, the break could decide to control most of the town halls in order to have a certain influence on the voters at the base.

In this perspective, the movement can play a role in controlling strategic town halls while leaving some town halls to the other forces of the movement. In all cases, the elections will be inclusive. However, a good result obtained by the political parties of the non-conventional movement would only confirm the people’s rejection of the two blocs of the President of the Republic. The municipal elections were then revealed as a final test for the republican bloc and the progressive union, whose poor performance could only accentuate their lack of legitimacy in the national assembly even if the elections were not the same. The cena has therefore once again played to its full credibility to ensure that the municipal elections of 2020 do not provoke protests among the political parties of the unconventional movement.

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